Thu. Dec 8th, 2022

Patrick Everson

FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst

Who doesn’t love a 4-0-1 betting weekend?

If you assume you’ve seen all of it, nicely, all the time know there’s one thing extra. Betting on NFL Week 10 odds certainly demonstrated that in an enormous approach.

You bought your cash’s price in case you had any of your hard-earned {dollars} on the Minnesota Vikings-Buffalo Payments showdown.

Hopefully, you had the street underdog to get that cash again and extra.

Justin Jefferson’s jaw-dropping catch propels Vikings to OT win vs. Payments

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Buffalo Payments 33-30 in extra time yesterday.

‘Craziest Betting I’ve Ever Seen’

Earlier than even addressing the wild ending to the Vikings-Payments tilt, we have now to begin with how this recreation developed over the previous week. Some sportsbooks opened Buffalo as a lot as a 9-point favourite. With Josh Allen (elbow) unsure to play, the road bought as little as -3 late within the week. Then on Saturday, the Payments introduced Allen would probably play, and the road rebounded to Buffalo -6.5.

The Payments appeared in management with a 27-10 lead late within the third quarter. Then Vikings working again Dalvin Prepare dinner ripped off an 81-yard TD run to make it 27-17. That was a part of a 20-0 Vikes run capped by an especially uncommon play: After stopping Minnesota on fourth-and-goal, Buffalo had first down at its personal 1-yard line, aiming to expire the clock.

However Allen fumbled the snap, and Minnesota recovered ultimately zone to take a 30-27 lead. Within the ultimate 41 seconds, Buffalo rebounded to get a subject purpose and ship the sport to extra time, however Minnesota went on to win 33-30.

“That’s the craziest betting I’ve ever seen and the craziest end result I’ve ever seen,” South Level sportsbook director Chris Andrews stated. “We had a excessive of Payments -8 and a low of Payments -3 on the unfold. The whole had a excessive of 48 and a low of 43.5.”

It put Andrews and oddsmakers round Vegas and throughout the nation in a precarious spot. Usually, the chance room is anxious with maybe one or two numbers, however the vary on this recreation was enormous.

“We’d be OK so long as it didn’t fall anyplace close to all these numbers,” Andrews stated. “We had a number of numbers we have been making an attempt to keep away from, and we prevented all of them. Minnesota outright was good.”

Pregame, BetMGM sports activities dealer Seamus Magee stated: “Payments by 3 to 7 factors is the worst consequence for us.”

Added Andrews: “It wouldn’t have been good.”

That destiny was averted – barely. When the Payments took over at their very own 1-yard line late within the fourth quarter, they led 27-23. Efficiently run out the clock, and bettors have a heyday whereas books take a shower, paying out on Vikings bets starting from +9 to +5 and Payments bets of -3.5 or much less, and refunding all of the pushes on Vikes +4/Payments -4.

However bettors had their moments within the NFL Week 10 odds market.

Racking Up Early Wins

Bettors typically had their approach in Sunday’s early NFL video games. At BetMGM, for instance, the e book wanted the Broncos, who have been 2.5-point street underdogs towards the Titans. Tennessee gained 17-10. The e book wanted the Texans to cowl as 4.5-point ‘canines on the Giants, and New York gained 24-16.

BetMGM actually wanted the Saints to beat the Steelers in a recreation the place the road opened New Orleans -3 however closed Pittsburgh -1. The Steelers gained 20-10 at dwelling.

“The Vikings recreation was first rate, however the remainder of the [early] slate was no good. Plenty of crimson numbers on my web page,” BetMGM vice chairman of buying and selling Jason Scott stated.

Andrews, a Steelers fan who recurrently dons Pittsburgh gear on NFL Sundays, typically likes to see Pittsburgh do nicely. However his e book bought dinged fairly good by his favourite workforce Sunday.

“We bought buried. We opened Saints -2.5 and closed at Steelers -1.5. That’s a helluva transfer,” Andrews stated, noting sharp bettors and the general public have been all in on Pittsburgh. “That’s normally a foul signal.”

Higher for the Books

In fact, whereas bookmakers usually have comparable wants on video games, it’s not all the time the case. And a few spots did nicely to the NFL Sunday outcomes.

“The mixed results of the Giants protecting and the Underneath was an amazing end result for us,” WynnBet senior dealer Chris Youn stated. “The Lions successful was one other [good result]. We had two totals that have been huge, with Jacksonville-Kansas Metropolis going Underneath and that ultimate landing in Cardinals-Rams to get the Over.”

The Chiefs beat the Jags 27-17, staying nicely under the 51.5 complete. The Playing cards beat L.A. 27-17, however the Rams’ final-seconds TD pushed the sport past the 38 complete.

“The Vikings and Packers moneylines have been huge losers, however we did win a bit to the unfold on every of these video games,” Youn stated.

Inexperienced Bay, a 3.5-point dwelling underdog to Dallas, rallied from a 28-14 deficit with two fourth-quarter TDs. The Packers went on to win 31-28 in extra time.

The SuperBook joined WynnBet in pointing to the Lions-Bears consequence, a 31-30 Detroit victory as a 3-point street pup.

“There was a number of public cash on the Bears to cowl at dwelling, so Detroit successful outright was an amazing end result for us,” SuperBook senior danger supervisor Casey Degnon stated. “The Broncos have been one other in style workforce, so we have been glad to see Tennessee come away with a victory and a canopy.”

On Campus

In Saturday’s faculty soccer Week 11 odds market, The SuperBook pointed to 2 key outcomes: Purdue’s 31-24 win as a 6.5-point ‘canine at Illinois; and Washington’s gorgeous 37-34 upset as a 12.5-point ‘canine at Oregon.

“Purdue successful in Champaign towards the Preventing Illini was an excellent consequence on the unfold, in addition to killing some moneyline parlays,” Degnon stated. “Washington successful at Oregon was our greatest results of the day. Tons of public cash was on the favourite Geese to cowl.”

On the flip facet, Washington-Oregon wasn’t good for WynnBet, because of loads of flier bets taking the Huskies to win outright.

“Washington moneyline was of our largest losers, however we did get a few of it again on the unfold,” Youn stated.

I Like Massive Bets and I Can’t Lie

One of many largest reported wagers of the weekend got here on the ultimate NFL recreation. A BetMGM buyer fired $257,607.70 – sure, 70 cents on the finish, only for good measure – on 49ers moneyline -450 vs. the Chargers.

All San Francisco needed to do to make a winner of that bettor was win the sport. The Niners trailed a lot of the night time however got here away with a 22-16 victory. The bettor netted $57,246.16. Not a foul ROI over the course of three hours or so in case you’ve bought that type of money.

The same wager got here throughout BetMGM’s counter Saturday, and it was a legit sweat till the waning seconds. The bettor put $240,000 on Alabama moneyline -450 for its street recreation towards Ole Miss.

The Crimson Tide led 30-24 late within the fourth quarter, however the Rebels drove all the best way to the 14-yard line within the ultimate minute earlier than stalling out. That allowed Alabama to flee, as did the bettor, who netted $53,333.

And eventually, a Caesars Sports activities buyer blasted away on a handful of NFL video games with $575,000 in wagers:

$110,000 on Packers +5 vs. Cowboys (win)$110,000 on Broncos +2.5 at Titans (loss)$115,000 on Broncos +3 at Titans (loss)$130,000 on Lions +3.5 (-130) at Bears (win)$110,000 on Texans +6.5 at Giants (loss) 

That bettor wasn’t practically as lucky, posting a internet lack of $135,000. So in case your five-team parlay went up in smoke this weekend, simply bear in mind it could possibly be worse. And bear in mind to maintain it affordable. Solely guess what you’ll be able to afford to lose. Take pleasure in that Monday night time Commanders-Eagles tilt.

Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He’s a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting area. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Comply with him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.


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