Portugal vs. France prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Euro 2024 quarterfinal Ronaldo against Mbappe

Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal squeezed past Slovenia after a penalty shootout win to reach the quarterfinals of Euro 2024, where they will next face Kylian Mbappe’s France. 

Ronaldo missed a penalty to win the game in extra time but stepped up to take the first in the shootout, where Diogo Costa made three saves to send Portugal to the last eight of the competition.

France left it late in their Round of 16 match against Belgium and struggled to create any real goal scoring opportunities, but a Jan Vertonghen own goal fired them to this stage.

BET NOW: Latest odds for Euro 2024 and best bets for Portugal vs. France on BetMGM

The Sporting News takes a look at the best bets and provides all the facts you need to make your picks ahead of this one.

MORE: Euro 2024 full schedule of matches and latest results, updated LIVE

Portugal vs. France prediction, odds

Moneyline lean: DrawScore prediction: Portugal 0-0 France

France have struggled for goals at this tournament but have been good defensively. In fact, they’ve allowed an Expected Goals Against (xGA) tally of just 2.63 at Euro 2024 — the lowest of any side in the quarterfinal, and second lowest at the tournament overall after Serbia (2.57).

Portugal appeared to force their attacks and Ronaldo was ridiculously wasteful vs. Slovenia, often putting himself before his team — which nearly sent them packing.

Masked man Kylian Mbappe hasn’t been at it since his broken nose, and Les Bleus’ attacking threat often relies on his individual brilliance. 

 BetMGM
(USA)Portugal win+220Draw+220France win+135Both teams
to scoreY: +105
N: -145Over / Under
2.5 goalsO: +135
U: -190Portugal
-1.5 goals+230France
+1.5 goals+160

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Portugal vs. France match facts

Date: Friday, July 5, 2024Kickoff time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg, Germany)Last meeting: Portugal 2-2 France (June 23, 2021 | Euro 2020 Group F)

Portugal vs. France best bet

Pick: Under 1.5 goalsOdds: +155 (BetMGM)

Despite winning their group and now reaching the quarterfinal, Portugal have failed to score in their last two matches at Euro 2024.

France are also yet to score a goal from open play as their three goals at the tournament have been courtesy of two own goals and a penalty.

Portugal vs. France alternate bet

Pick: Either team to win on a penalty shootoutOdds: +750 (BetMGM)

Given the previous picks and neither side looking too confident when in on goal, this one could head to a penalty shootout. Picking either Portugal or France to win in the shootout provides some good value.

Portugal vs. France prop bet

Pick: Cristiano Ronaldo 2+ shots in first halfOdds: +130 (FanDuel)

No player at this tournament so far has had as many shots as Portugal’s main man, and yet he is still sat on zero goals.  But anyone who has seen Ronaldo play over the years will know all too well that won’t stop him from trying and trying over and over, until he sees the ball in the back of the net.  

It’s important to note that this bet is strictly for shots, not shots on target, which should hit given he’s averaging nearly five shots per game at the tournament so far.

Portugal vs. France live stream, TV channel

 TV channelStreamingUSAFOX/FS1Fubo USA, Fox Sports app, ViXCanadaTSN1, TSN4, TVA SportsTSN+, TVA+UKBBCBBC iPlayer

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This quarterfinal match of Euro 2024 will be televised in the United States on FOX network channels, which can be streamed on Fubo who are offering a free trial for new users.

In Canada, the match will be televised on TSN1, TSN4 and TVA, with both networks offering live streaming options too.

In the UK, Euro 2024 matches will be split between the BBC and ITV. The BBC will televise this match across their platforms.

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