New Zealand enters technical recession after economic system shrank 0.1% within the first quarter

Buildings in Auckland, New Zealand, on Monday, Could 22, 2023.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Photographs

New Zealand’s gross home product fell 0.1% within the first quarter, in line with authorities information revealed Thursday, as its central financial institution launched into one of the crucial aggressive price hike cycles on this planet.

The most recent information from Wellington marks a technical recession for the economic system, after reporting a revised 0.7% decline within the closing quarter of 2022.

A technical recession is outlined as two consecutive quarters of contraction.

In contrast with a yr in the past, the economic system grew 2.9% within the first quarter. Economists surveyed by Reuters anticipated New Zealand to mark a contraction of 0.1% quarter on quarter and progress of two.6% yr on yr.

In its Could assembly, the Reserve Financial institution of New Zealand raised its benchmark price to a 14-year excessive, with the 25-basis-point hike lifting its official money price to five.5%.

“New Zealand’s economic system is within the midst of a needed, policy-induced slowdown following the sturdy post-pandemic restoration,” the Worldwide Financial Fund mentioned in a Wednesday mission assertion forward of the GDP launch.

The IMF additionally warned in opposition to the central financial institution turning to financial coverage easing measures, including that it ought to nonetheless depart the door open for extra price hikes forward.

“As non-tradable inflation persists, there’s little scope to decrease the OCR for a protracted interval,” the IMF wrote.

“A reignition of demand, together with because of inadequate fiscal consolidation, and a stalling of inflation above goal would name for additional tightening of financial coverage,” it mentioned.

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