The Most (and Least) Likely Eligible Genre Films to Be Nominated for Best Picture

All four of these films are eligible for the Best Picture Oscar. But not all realistically have a shot.Image: Sony, Netflix, Warner Bros.

Awards season is in full swing all across the world, but for most movie fans, one award matters more than all the others: the Oscar. The Acadamy Awards are voted on by the people who work on them, from actors and directors to costume designers and set builders. It’s widely considered to be the most prestigious and enduring award, and the one every film is after.

Before a winner can be crowned, the Academy must determine which films released in the previous year are eligible for awards and which are not. For 2024, 265 feature films released in 2023 are eligible for the Academy Award for Best Picture; of those 265, around 65 of them are genre films—fantasy, sci-fi, horror, etc.

Some of these films have a very, very good shot at getting one of the 10 total available nominations. Others have no shot whatsoever and, frankly, it’s kind of humorous that they’re eligible in the first place. So what follows are the 10 genre films we think are most likely to get nominated, and the 10 that are the least likely. And yes, these are all on the actual list, which you can find here.

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